Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 334.922678 378.988778 427.715274 485.770199 553.286239 629.602897 722.783060
2025-11-16 268.476133 326.378480 396.055059 486.799776 602.916192 747.942100 945.026898
2025-11-23 229.316036 291.750130 371.069195 480.583569 629.994618 829.844711 1122.756020
2025-11-30 204.710122 270.226326 357.232393 483.323795 664.908890 922.520565 1325.962351
2025-12-07 182.177160 247.817729 338.216352 474.608571 680.186393 986.903229 1495.808628
2025-12-14 165.543598 231.241180 324.684613 470.859876 700.494033 1059.362443 1687.862804
2025-12-21 147.679613 210.841819 303.110150 451.874175 693.890138 1087.399945 1809.645599
2025-12-28 140.808362 205.784790 303.467797 466.210626 741.311105 1208.712030 2113.033701
2026-01-04 135.692445 202.749648 306.355314 484.492692 797.038037 1351.506823 2482.279407
2026-01-11 127.682737 194.393036 299.887233 486.241793 823.915489 1446.060035 2775.587260
2026-01-18 118.111091 182.697889 286.871980 475.202279 826.082736 1494.228456 2982.217943
2026-01-25 109.843012 172.452469 275.328814 465.426689 829.110990 1543.930090 3201.038818
2026-02-01 105.959320 169.306048 275.713027 477.546413 876.214623 1690.596390 3674.239956
2026-02-08 100.225888 162.584020 269.341059 476.494346 897.281991 1786.679219 4051.296566
2026-02-15 94.327679 155.109814 260.968825 470.662042 907.647808 1860.815361 4390.457684
2026-02-22 90.202157 150.426800 257.199198 473.309713 935.955626 1979.374730 4874.576004
2026-03-01 84.908314 143.274640 248.310288 464.808474 939.007998 2039.544931 5213.403027
2026-03-08 80.693643 137.790883 242.109609 461.150006 952.295043 2126.365645 5651.571308
2026-03-15 74.972994 129.172762 229.334843 442.621083 929.484505 2120.039599 5808.262531
2026-03-22 73.565520 128.496405 231.805431 456.612931 984.215705 2321.068657 6672.714560
2026-03-29 72.635458 128.645174 235.877458 474.452941 1050.613667 2565.517959 7761.415556
2026-04-05 70.010899 125.358230 232.823119 476.159598 1077.404886 2706.132367 8536.305203
2026-04-12 66.294277 119.719257 224.599034 465.387530 1071.179328 2751.649829 8977.447755